Patrick Spaven

Hidden in Plain Sight: Unlocking Actionable Insights in Client Data

CGAP’s Precision Causal Modeling (PCM) Guide introduces a new analytical approach for helping financial institutions and investors learn more from data they already collect. Drawing on pilots with five institutions, the guide explains how PCM can help uncover why similar customers experience different outcomes and identify product and delivery choices that may work better for different groups.

Opening the Black Box on the Impact of Inclusive Credit

Inclusive credit is one of the most celebrated and contested tools in development. This Focus Note reframes that debate. Rather than asking whether credit works, it asks: for which borrowers, through what product designs, and under what conditions does inclusive credit generate meaningful benefit rather than harm?

Financial Health Matters: It’s A Bridge to Resilience and Prosperity

In an era of economic volatility and rapid financial innovation, the concept of financial health has emerged as a critical bridge between financial inclusion and positive outcomes for people and economies.

Measuring Financial Health: Findex Broadens Its Scope

Financial health is rising on global agendas, but measuring it remains fragmented. The 2025 Global Findex expands coverage across four key dimensions, offering a step toward global benchmarks while balancing local realities.

Does Microcredit Drive Jobs Growth? Here’s What the Evidence Shows

Microcredit can help MSEs create jobs and build resilience but often falls short on growth. The Impact Pathfinder highlights credit’s opportunities and gaps, stressing the need for better financial products and support to boost employment.